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Poll predicts tough fight between AIADMK, DMK

Saturday, 23 January 2016
B Sudharsan

Chennai: A pre-election poll, conducted by People Studies Multi-disciplinary Research Institute that is based in Chennai, has predicted a neck-and-neck competition between the two major Dravidian parties in the State in the ensuing Assembly Elections.

According to the findings of the poll released to the media by psephologist S Rajanayagam today, 33.3 per cent of the 5,464 people surveyed across 39 parliamentary constituencies, including 120 State constituencies, between 7 and 19 January said they would vote for the AIADMK in the coming elections, while 33.1 per cent said they would vote for the DMK. About 37.7 per cent of the people felt that the DMK may form the government this time, compared to 35.7 per cent people who felt that the AIADMK will again come to power.

"Though the poll results suggest that there are more people who may vote for the AIADMK over the DMK, the difference of 0.2 per cent is insignificant. Polls conducted over a period of time suggest that the DMK is gaining ground in the State but it will be the alliance factor that will determine who forms the government," said Rajanayagam, speaking to reporters.

The poll further indicated that it would be difficult for other parties sans the AIADMK and the DMK to attain even 10 per cent of the vote share. Vijaykanth-led DMDK, which is being wooed by many parties, including the BJP, finds a preference only among 6 per cent of the people surveyed, says the poll, adding that the percentage of people who said they will vote for the PMK, BJP, Congress and MDMK was 3.2, 2.0, 1.8 and 1.5 per cent respectively.

Also, a majority of the people maintained that floods in the State would not be an election issue. While one in four people in the flood-affected districts said relief measures were carried out satisfactorily by the ruling party, 6.2 per cent felt that the government could have compensated the affected families with an amount that was proportionate to the losses suffered.

Corruption (36.1%), alcohol consumption (23.4%), poor drinking water facilities (14.2%), lack of electricity (12.5%) and unemployment (5.2%) were the major issues based on which the people would cast their votes, the poll underlines, adding that Karunanadhi was the most preferred chief ministerial candidate (8.7%) followed by J Jayalalithaa (4.4%).

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